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Who to start · 2025-26

Chris Kreider vs Parker Kelly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chris Kreider's 1.54.

Kreider had 50 points in 75 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.

This week Kreider has no games left; Kelly has no games left.

Parker Kelly has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kreider's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 3:12, Power-play share 62.1%, Power-play points 18.

Kelly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.5, Ascension score 66, Blocked shots 58.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Chris Kreider

1.54

fantasy points per game

Parker Kelly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Parker Kelly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKreiderKelly
Goals (+2)0.640.57
Assists (+1)0.390.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.12
Hits (+0.1)0.120.21
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.37

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kreider vs Kelly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KreiderKelly
7Team record in 13 meetings6
10Points in those games5

Kreider 5G 5A, 33 SOG · Kelly 4G 1A, 16 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other0

Kreider's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–0 · Kreider's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2024-25)

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Kreider's side)

8:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kreider's side

Shot attempts
10–9
52.6%
Expected goals
0.3–0.7
30.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Chris Kreider and Parker Kelly
DateScoreKreiderKelly
2026-03-03ANA 1–5 COL0G 0A 1S2G 0A 2S
2026-01-21ANA 2–1 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-11ANA 1–4 COL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S
2025-01-26NYR 4–5 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-14NYR 2–3 COL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2024-04-15NYR 4–0 OTT0G 2A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-27NYR 7–2 OTT1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-05NYR 2–6 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-02NYR 2–3 OTT0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-30NYR 3–1 OTT1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-09NYR 5–1 OTT2G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2022-02-20NYR 2–1 OTT0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Faceoffs: Kreider vs Kelly

Model: Chris Kreider wins 45.5% of draws against Parker Kelly on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Chris Kreider's predicted win % against Parker Kelly at each dot, in Kreider's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Kreider atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home52%38%53%39%46%53%39%55%40%
Road51%36%52%38%45%52%38%53%39%

Head-to-head 2024-25: Kreider 1–0 (100.0%). Blended with the model: 45.6%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z 1.1); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Kreider faceoffs · Kelly faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KreiderKelly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Chris Kreider

2games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to LWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Parker Kelly

2games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Chris Kreider or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Parker Kelly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Chris Kreider's 1.54. Kreider had 50 points in 75 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Chris Kreider or Parker Kelly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Parker Kelly leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kreider and Kelly done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Kreider's team went 7–6. Kreider had 10 points (5 goals) and Kelly had 5 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kreider or Kelly?
Against each other, Kreider has won 2 and Kelly 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →