Edgehalla

Draw Duel

Chris Kreider faceoff stats, 2025-26

MTL · L · Left shot · full player page

Model rating

37.5%

90%: 32.5%–42.8% vs an average regular, on 217 draws since 2023-24

2025-26 FO%

35.7%

15 won of 42 (regular season)

Strong / weak side

66.7% / 13.6%

18 strong-side, 22 weak-side draws this season

Next game

No projection scheduled.

Where Kreider wins draws

Win % at every dot, 2026-27 and 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.

67% · 1515% · 20— · 2— · 2— · 2— · 2
Offensive zone at the right, his left at the top. Warm = above 50%, cool = below; bigger circles = more draws. Hollow circles have under 10 draws.
Show as a table
Chris Kreider faceoff win % by dot
DotDrawsWonFO%
OZ left151066.7%
OZ right20315.0%
NZ left (att.)00—
NZ right (att.)00—
Centre200.0%
NZ left (def.)22100.0%
NZ right (def.)00—
DZ left200.0%
DZ right200.0%

Toughest and easiest opponents

Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.

Toughest

Easiest

Splits by season

Faceoff win % by season and situation, with draws taken.
SeasonAllEVPPPKOZNZDZStrongWeak
2026-270.0% 10.0% 1— 0— 00.0% 1— 0— 00.0% 1— 0
2025-2635.7% 4232.3% 3162.5% 80.0% 338.2% 3450.0% 40.0% 466.7% 1813.6% 22
2024-2539.7% 6837.3% 5975.0% 440.0% 541.3% 4644.4% 930.8% 1338.6% 4440.9% 22
2023-2436.5% 9638.6% 8333.3% 320.0% 1042.0% 6926.7% 1516.7% 1239.7% 6329.6% 27
Playoffs (all)10.0% 1011.1% 90.0% 1— 00.0% 625.0% 4— 014.3% 70.0% 2

Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.

Head-to-head, last three seasons

Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.

Head-to-head faceoff records with model expectation and shrunk estimate.
OpponentRecordRawModelBlendedUnusual?
Kevin Stenlund3–350.0%32.3%32.5%normal luck (z 0.9)
Jason Dickinson0–40.0%29.3%29.1%a bit unusual (z -1.3)
Sean Monahan0–30.0%28.9%28.7%a bit unusual (z -1.1)
David Kampf1–233.3%28.5%28.6%normal luck (z 0.2)
Joel Eriksson Ek3–0100.0%46.5%46.8%a bit unusual (z 1.9)
Nic Dowd0–30.0%38.0%37.8%a bit unusual (z -1.4)
Robert Thomas0–30.0%38.1%37.9%a bit unusual (z -1.4)
Mikael Backlund2–166.7%44.5%44.6%normal luck (z 0.8)
Quinton Byfield2–0100.0%41.1%41.4%a bit unusual (z 1.7)
Tomas Hertl0–20.0%25.1%25.0%normal luck (z -0.8)
Nico Hischier0–20.0%24.1%24.0%normal luck (z -0.8)
Leo Carlsson1–150.0%46.2%46.3%normal luck (z 0.1)

Last 10 games

Faceoffs taken and won in his last ten games.
DateOppFOWDrawsFO%
2026-09-29@ TOR010.0%
2026-05-14vs VGK010.0%
2026-05-04@ VGK010.0%
2026-04-07vs NSH020.0%
2026-04-04vs CGY1250.0%
2026-04-03vs STL010.0%
2026-03-28@ EDM010.0%
2026-03-20@ UTA11100.0%
2026-02-25vs EDM010.0%
2026-01-23@ SEA010.0%

Projected faceoffs won

No upcoming games projected.

FAQ

What is Chris Kreider's faceoff percentage?

The season line above shows Chris Kreider's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.

How many faceoffs will Chris Kreider win tonight?

When Chris Kreider has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.

Is Chris Kreider better on his strong side?

Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.