Who to start · 2025-26
Dougie Hamilton vs Mitch Marner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.
Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.
This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hamilton's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.42, Hits 87, Faceoffs won 0.
Marner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, On-ice PDO 1019, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dougie Hamilton
1.74
fantasy points per game
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hamilton | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.50 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Marner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hamilton 3G 1A, 47 SOG · Marner 4G 10A, 33 SOG
Hamilton blocked 5 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 1 of Hamilton's.
On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)
10:14 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–9
- 43.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.5
- 27.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hamilton | Marner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | NJD 2–1 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-05 | NJD 0–3 VGK | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-16 | NJD 3–4 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-12-10 | NJD 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-10 | NJD 2–4 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-07 | NJD 3–4 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-23 | NJD 1–2 TOR | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-17 | NJD 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-23 | NJD 2–3 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2019-12-23 | CAR 6–8 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 2G 3A 4S |
| 2019-04-02 | CAR 4–1 TOR | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2018-12-11 | CAR 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dougie Hamilton
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 ptsOpp allows 16th-most FP to Dvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Mitch Marner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hamilton and Marner done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 4–11. Hamilton had 4 points (3 goals) and Marner had 14 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →