Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Erik Karlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games.
This week Larkin has 2 games left; Karlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 3.9 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.
Erik Karlsson has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 48, Blocked shots 33, Hits 46.
Karlsson's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.6%, Scoring chances 53.7%, Luck Meter +54.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Erik Karlsson
1.94
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.40 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.68 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.43 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Karlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 5G 15A, 39 SOG · Karlsson 5G 13A, 41 SOG
Larkin blocked 1 of Karlsson's shots; Karlsson blocked 5 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
11:39 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–12
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.6
- 4.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Karlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | DET 1–5 PIT | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-03 | DET 1–4 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-01-01 | DET 3–4 PIT | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-12-31 | DET 4–2 PIT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-13 | DET 3–2 PIT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-10 | DET 3–6 PIT | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-11 | DET 5–6 PIT | 1G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-18 | DET 6–3 PIT | 0G 3A 4S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2023-01-24 | DET 3–2 SJS | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2022-11-17 | DET 7–4 SJS | 0G 2A 3S | 1G 3A 4S |
| 2022-01-04 | DET 6–2 SJS | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-12-31 | DET 2–0 SJS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games
3.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR2.1 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsSchedule edge +3.0 win%Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Erik Karlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Karlsson had 66 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Erik Karlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Karlsson done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 9–7. Larkin had 20 points (5 goals) and Karlsson had 18 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →