Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Ivan Provorov
In 2025-26, Dylan Larkin scored 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 42.7%, Penalty minutes 48, Power-play time per game 3:13.
Provorov's biggest edges: High-danger chances 52.3%, Scoring chances 51.5%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.060.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Provorov |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.22 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.82 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Provorov
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 7G 13A, 66 SOG · Provorov 2G 7A, 35 SOG
Larkin blocked 2 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 6 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
23:20 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 34–25
- 57.6%
- Expected goals
- 1.8–0.6
- 73.3%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Provorov |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | DET 3–4 CBJ | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-04 | DET 5–6 CBJ | 1G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-22 | DET 4–3 CBJ | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-01 | DET 3–5 CBJ | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-27 | DET 2–5 CBJ | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-02 | DET 5–4 CBJ | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-11-11 | DET 5–4 CBJ | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-16 | DET 4–0 CBJ | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-25 | DET 0–3 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-05 | DET 1–3 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-21 | DET 1–2 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-03-22 | DET 6–3 PHI | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to C
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to D
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
- In 2025-26, Dylan Larkin scored 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Ivan Provorov?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Provorov done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 8–14. Larkin had 20 points (7 goals) and Provorov had 9 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →