Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs J.T. Miller
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Transition attempts /60 1.39, Goals above expected −0.5.
Miller's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.5%, Forecheck xG /60 0.40, Scoring chances 52.3%.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Miller 32–31.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
J.T. Miller
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.50 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Miller
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 5G 6A, 61 SOG · Miller 5G 5A, 45 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 11–12 · neutral 5–9 · Larkin's defensive zone 16–10 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Larkin blocked 0 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 1 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
15:59 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 25–7
- 78.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.1
- 85.3%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Miller |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | DET 1–4 NYR | 0G 0A 8S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-11-16 | DET 2–1 NYR | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-07 | DET 1–4 NYR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-15 | DET 1–4 VAN | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-10 | DET 4–3 VAN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 8S |
| 2023-02-13 | DET 6–1 VAN | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-02-11 | DET 5–2 VAN | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2022-03-17 | DET 1–0 VAN | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2019-10-22 | DET 2–5 VAN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2019-10-15 | DET 1–5 VAN | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2018-12-04 | DET 5–6 TBL | 0G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2018-10-18 | DET 1–3 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or J.T. Miller?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Miller done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–8. Larkin had 11 points (5 goals) and Miller had 10 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Miller?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 32 and Miller 31 of their 63 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →