Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Martin Necas
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Necas had 100 in 78 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Necas has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Necas's 1.7.
Martin Necas has the better number in 25 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Penalty minutes 48, Blocked shots 33.
Necas's biggest edges: Scoring chances 56.6%, On-ice PDO 1054, Offensive-zone start % 69.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Martin Necas
2.46
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Martin Necas has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Necas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.79 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Necas
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 6G 7A, 55 SOG · Necas 4G 8A, 44 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 2–1 · Larkin's defensive zone 1–3 (2020-21 to 2022-23)
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Necas |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-25 | DET 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2024-03-28 | DET 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-01-19 | DET 2–4 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2023-03-30 | DET 3–2 CAR | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-12-13 | DET 0–1 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-14 | DET 3–0 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-03-01 | DET 4–3 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-12-16 | DET 3–5 CAR | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2021-04-12 | DET 3–1 CAR | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-04-10 | DET 5–4 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2021-03-16 | DET 4–2 CAR | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-03-14 | DET 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Martin Necas
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.7 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Martin Necas in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Necas had 100 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Martin Necas?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Martin Necas leads in 25 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Necas done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–10. Larkin had 13 points (6 goals) and Necas had 12 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Necas?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 3 and Necas 5 of their 8 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →