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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Morgan Rielly

Eeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wingvsMorgan RiellyMorgan RiellyMaple Leafs · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Rielly for 1.5 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Morgan Rielly has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hardest shot 92.8, Hits 187, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010.

Rielly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Goals above expected +2.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenRielly
Goals (+2)0.480.25
Assists (+1)0.260.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.17
Hits (+0.1)0.240.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenRielly
4Team record in 10 meetings6
7Points in those games6

Tolvanen 5G 2A, 21 SOG · Rielly 2G 4A, 27 SOG

4Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other2

Tolvanen blocked 1 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 2 of Tolvanen's.

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

10:16 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
7–7
50.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
65.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreTolvanenRielly
2026-01-29SEA 5–2 TOR0G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2025-10-18SEA 4–3 TOR0G 1A 0S1G 0A 5S
2025-02-06SEA 1–3 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-10-31SEA 1–4 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-01-21SEA 1–3 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-30SEA 3–4 TOR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-26SEA 1–5 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-05SEA 5–1 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-19NSH 6–3 TOR1G 1A 3S0G 1A 6S
2021-11-16NSH 0–3 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenRielly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Rielly done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 4–6. Tolvanen had 7 points (5 goals) and Rielly had 6 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →