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Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Tim Stützle

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tim Stützle projects to 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Stützle had 83 in 80 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Stützle has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Stützle's 1.6.

Tim Stützle has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Transition attempts /60 0.49, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.067.

Stützle's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.5%, Power-play time per game 3:24, Offensive-zone start % 79.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Tim Stützle

2.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tim Stützle has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonStützle
Goals (+2)0.330.85
Assists (+1)0.360.61
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.24
Hits (+0.1)0.170.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Stützle

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SamuelssonStützle
7Team record in 11 meetings4
5Points in those games6

Samuelsson 1G 4A, 13 SOG · Stützle 3G 3A, 26 SOG

1Hits on each other4
0Shots blocked by the other1

Samuelsson blocked 0 of Stützle's shots; Stützle blocked 1 of Samuelsson's.

On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)

14:13 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side

Shot attempts
13–21
38.2%
Expected goals
0.4–0.7
34.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Samuelsson and Tim Stützle
DateScoreSamuelssonStützle
2026-04-02BUF 1–4 OTT1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-23BUF 3–2 OTT0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-04-01BUF 5–2 OTT0G 2A 0S0G 0A 4S
2025-03-25BUF 3–2 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-11BUF 5–3 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-31BUF 1–5 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-24BUF 6–4 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2023-01-01BUF 1–3 OTT0G 1A 3S2G 0A 2S
2022-10-13BUF 4–1 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-01-25BUF 0–5 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2022-01-18BUF 3–1 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonStützle

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Tim Stützle

1games

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Tim Stützle in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tim Stützle projects to 2.33 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Stützle had 83 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Tim Stützle?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tim Stützle leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Samuelsson and Stützle done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 7–4. Samuelsson had 5 points (1 goals) and Stützle had 6 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →