Who to start · 2025-26
Nikita Kucherov vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 3.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.
Kucherov had 130 points in 77 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Kucherov has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Kucherov for 2.8 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.
Nikita Kucherov has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Kucherov's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1046, Luck Meter +54, Goals above expected +3.9.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Faceoffs won 32, Top skating speed 23.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nikita Kucherov
3.04
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nikita Kucherov has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kucherov | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.14 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.12 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kucherov vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kucherov 7G 13A, 38 SOG · Jarvis 4G 4A, 26 SOG
Kucherov blocked 0 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 1 of Kucherov's.
On the ice against each other (Kucherov's side)
14:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kucherov's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–15
- 42.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 48.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kucherov | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | TBL 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-02-26 | TBL 4–5 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-03-11 | TBL 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-07 | TBL 3–2 CAR | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-11 | TBL 4–1 CAR | 3G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-24 | TBL 8–2 CAR | 2G 4A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-24 | TBL 3–0 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-28 | TBL 4–0 CAR | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-05 | TBL 0–6 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-03 | TBL 3–4 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-03-29 | TBL 4–3 CAR | 0G 3A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-03-22 | TBL 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nikita Kucherov
2games (1 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nikita Kucherov or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 3.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Kucherov had 130 points in 77 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nikita Kucherov or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikita Kucherov leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kucherov and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Kucherov's team went 6–6. Kucherov had 20 points (7 goals) and Jarvis had 8 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →