Draw Duel
Roman Kantserov faceoff stats, 2026-27
CHI · R · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
—
Only 32 draws in the last four seasons: too few for a rating.
2026-27 FO%
43.8%
14 won of 32 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
52.2% / 0.0%
23 strong-side, 4 weak-side draws this season
Next game
5.4 FOW
2026-10-06 vs STL: 12 draws at 45.0%, range 2–9
Where Kantserov wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2026-27 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| OZ right | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
| NZ right (att.) | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Centre | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| NZ left (def.) | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
| NZ right (def.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| DZ left | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| DZ right | 0 | 0 | — |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R31.4%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L32.1%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R32.4%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R32.8%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L33.0%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L33.2%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L52.4%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L52.1%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L51.0%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L49.2%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L48.9%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R48.7%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 43.8% 32 | 50.0% 28 | 0.0% 4 | — 0 | 30.0% 10 | 42.9% 14 | 62.5% 8 | 52.2% 23 | 0.0% 4 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Karlsson | 2–6 | 25.0% | 37.8% | 37.6% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Nic Dowd | 1–3 | 25.0% | 39.6% | 39.5% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Jack Eichel | 2–1 | 66.7% | 43.0% | 43.1% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Noah Ostlund | 1–2 | 33.3% | 59.5% | 59.3% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Tage Thompson | 2–1 | 66.7% | 48.4% | 48.5% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
| Logan Cooley | 1–1 | 50.0% | 48.7% | 48.7% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
| Kevin Stenlund | 1–1 | 50.0% | 34.7% | 34.8% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Vincent Trocheck | 1–1 | 50.0% | 33.7% | 33.7% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Barrett Hayton | 0–1 | 0.0% | 45.7% | 45.6% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Ryan McLeod | 1–0 | 100.0% | 47.3% | 47.4% | a bit unusual (z 1.1) |
| Nick Schmaltz | 0–1 | 0.0% | 43.6% | 43.5% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Daniil But | 1–0 | 100.0% | 52.8% | 52.9% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | @ BUF | 5 | 8 | 62.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | @ UTA | 4 | 9 | 44.4% |
| 2026-09-29 | @ VGK | 5 | 15 | 33.3% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-06 vs STL likely opponents: Robert Thomas (38%), Mason McTavish (45%)5.4 FOW 2–9
- 2026-10-08 vs NYI likely opponents: Bo Horvat (37%), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (32%)4.4 FOW 1–8
- 2026-10-10 vs CAR likely opponents: Jordan Staal (37%), Sebastian Aho (42%)5.0 FOW 2–8
FAQ
What is Roman Kantserov's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Roman Kantserov's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Roman Kantserov win tonight?
When Roman Kantserov has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Roman Kantserov better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.