Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left; Larkin has 1 left. We project Tuch for 2.3 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.1.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1044, High-danger chances 53.6%, Luck Meter +61.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Offensive-zone time 42.7%, Power-play share 66.3%.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Tuch 8–6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.26
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 5G 4A, 53 SOG · Larkin 8G 14A, 45 SOG
Tuch's offensive zone 3–2 · neutral 1–4 · Tuch's defensive zone 2–2 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Tuch blocked 1 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 1 of Tuch's.
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
15:15 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–14
- 54.8%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–0.6
- 69.0%
- Goals
- 3–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | BUF 2–5 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-11-15 | BUF 5–4 DET | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-22 | BUF 4–2 DET | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-12 | BUF 3–7 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 3A 1S |
| 2024-12-09 | BUF 5–6 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2024-11-02 | BUF 1–2 DET | 1G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-26 | BUF 5–3 DET | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-04-07 | BUF 1–3 DET | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-06 | BUF 7–6 DET | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-12-29 | BUF 6–3 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-30 | BUF 5–4 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-10-31 | BUF 8–3 DET | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYRSchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Larkin done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 9–8. Tuch had 9 points (5 goals) and Larkin had 22 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Larkin?
- Against each other, Tuch has won 6 and Larkin 8 of their 14 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →