Who to start · 2025-26
Brandon Hagel vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Hagel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Larkin has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Hagel's 1.8.
Brandon Hagel has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Hagel's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Scoring chances 58.3%, Expected goals 59.8%.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Hardest shot 91.7, Power-play points 24.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Brandon Hagel
2.26
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brandon Hagel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hagel | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.01 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hagel vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hagel 6G 11A, 42 SOG · Larkin 6G 10A, 75 SOG
Hagel's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–3 · Hagel's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2024-25)
Hagel blocked 0 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 2 of Hagel's.
On the ice against each other (Hagel's side)
12:07 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hagel's side
- Shot attempts
- 26–9
- 74.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.4–0.5
- 72.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hagel | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | TBL 6–3 DET | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-17 | TBL 1–2 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-04-11 | TBL 3–4 DET | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-08 | TBL 6–3 DET | 2G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-01-25 | TBL 0–2 DET | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-18 | TBL 5–1 DET | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-04-01 | TBL 2–4 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 2A 7S |
| 2024-01-21 | TBL 1–2 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-10-14 | TBL 4–6 DET | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 7S |
| 2023-04-13 | TBL 5–0 DET | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-02-25 | TBL 3–0 DET | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2022-12-21 | TBL 4–7 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Brandon Hagel
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.8 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Brandon Hagel or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Hagel had 74 points in 71 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Brandon Hagel or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hagel and Larkin done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Hagel's team went 12–10. Hagel had 17 points (6 goals) and Larkin had 16 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Hagel or Larkin?
- Against each other, Hagel has won 1 and Larkin 3 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →