Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Jake Guentzel
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Guentzel has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larkin for 2.2 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 25 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.7, Draw Equity /100 +0.029, Faceoff win % 52.9%.
Guentzel's biggest edges: High-danger chances 55.6%, Scoring chances 56.2%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.005.
Head to head on the dot, Larkin leads Guentzel 11–5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Jake Guentzel
2.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.62 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Guentzel
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 8G 12A, 69 SOG · Guentzel 8G 11A, 40 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Larkin's defensive zone 10–5 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
10:09 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–13
- 43.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.7
- 47.2%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | DET 3–4 TBL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-28 | DET 3–6 TBL | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-17 | DET 2–1 TBL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-11 | DET 4–3 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-08 | DET 3–6 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-25 | DET 2–0 TBL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-18 | DET 1–5 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2024-03-28 | DET 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-10-18 | DET 6–3 PIT | 0G 3A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-08 | DET 1–5 PIT | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-28 | DET 7–4 PIT | 1G 2A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-28 | DET 5–4 PIT | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 21 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Jake Guentzel?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 25 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Guentzel done against each other?
- In 21 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 10–11. Larkin had 20 points (8 goals) and Guentzel had 19 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Guentzel?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 11 and Guentzel 5 of their 16 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →