Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs John Tavares
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Tavares had 71 in 82 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left; Tavares has 1 left. We project Larkin for 2.1 ESPN points to Tavares's 1.8.
John Tavares has the better number in 18 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, Transition attempts /60 1.39, 20+ mph bursts 186.
Tavares's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.027, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Offensive-zone start % 56.1%.
Head to head on the dot, Tavares leads Larkin 83–63.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
John Tavares
1.84
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.76 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.49 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Tavares
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 14G 17A, 101 SOG · Tavares 13G 23A, 90 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 14–17 · neutral 18–31 · Larkin's defensive zone 31–35 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Larkin blocked 1 of Tavares's shots; Tavares blocked 4 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
10:54 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–9
- 35.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.5
- 9.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Tavares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | DET 2–1 TOR | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-28 | DET 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-10-13 | DET 3–2 TOR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-11 | DET 6–3 TOR | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-17 | DET 3–4 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-27 | DET 2–5 TOR | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2024-12-14 | DET 4–2 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-08 | DET 1–3 TOR | 1G 0A 4S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-13 | DET 5–4 TOR | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-01-14 | DET 4–2 TOR | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-17 | DET 2–3 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2023-04-02 | DET 5–2 TOR | 3G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 28 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.1 pts
John Tavares
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or John Tavares in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Tavares had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or John Tavares?
- On 2025-26 numbers, John Tavares leads in 18 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Tavares done against each other?
- In 28 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 12–16. Larkin had 31 points (14 goals) and Tavares had 36 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Tavares?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 63 and Tavares 83 of their 146 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →