Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Kyle Connor
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.
This week Larkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Larkin's 2.2.
Kyle Connor has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 789, Penalty minutes 48, Blocked shots 33.
Connor's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.2%, Luck Meter +36, Scoring chances 52.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Kyle Connor
2.22
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Connor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.12 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Connor
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 5G 5A, 47 SOG · Connor 8G 8A, 52 SOG
Larkin blocked 0 of Connor's shots; Connor blocked 2 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
15:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–11
- 57.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 55.0%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Connor |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | DET 5–1 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-12-31 | DET 2–1 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-04 | DET 4–2 WPG | 2G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-30 | DET 2–6 WPG | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2023-10-26 | DET 1–4 WPG | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-03-31 | DET 2–6 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-01-10 | DET 7–5 WPG | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-04-06 | DET 3–1 WPG | 0G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-01-13 | DET 0–3 WPG | 0G 0A 8S | 1G 1A 7S |
| 2019-12-12 | DET 5–2 WPG | 0G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 8S |
| 2019-12-10 | DET 1–5 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-01-11 | DET 2–4 WPG | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 2A 3S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.2 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Kyle Connor
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 ptsOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Kyle Connor?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Connor done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–8. Larkin had 10 points (5 goals) and Connor had 16 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →