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Who to start · 2025-26

Jared Spurgeon vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55.

Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Spurgeon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Rielly for 1.5 ESPN points to Spurgeon's 1.1.

Morgan Rielly has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Spurgeon's biggest edges: Plus/minus +2, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.045, Expected goals 51.4%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Forecheck xG /60 0.28, Penalty minutes 29.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jared Spurgeon

1.55

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Morgan Rielly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSpurgeonRielly
Goals (+2)0.140.25
Assists (+1)0.250.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.110.17
Hits (+0.1)0.100.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.910.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Spurgeon vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SpurgeonRielly
4Team record in 12 meetings8
7Points in those games10

Spurgeon 2G 5A, 17 SOG · Rielly 2G 8A, 28 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other2

Spurgeon blocked 3 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 2 of Spurgeon's.

On the ice against each other (Spurgeon's side)

10:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Spurgeon's side

Shot attempts
24–8
75.0%
Expected goals
1.1–0.3
80.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jared Spurgeon and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreSpurgeonRielly
2026-03-15MIN 2–4 TOR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2026-01-19MIN 6–3 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-29MIN 3–1 TOR1G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-03MIN 2–1 TOR0G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-19MIN 3–4 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 2A 5S
2023-02-24MIN 1–2 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-02-24MIN 1–3 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2019-12-31MIN 1–4 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2019-10-15MIN 2–4 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 4A 6S
2019-01-03MIN 4–3 TOR1G 2A 1S0G 0A 2S
2018-12-01MIN 3–5 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2017-11-08MIN 2–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SpurgeonRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jared Spurgeon

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Jared Spurgeon or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55. Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jared Spurgeon or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Spurgeon and Rielly done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Spurgeon's team went 4–8. Spurgeon had 7 points (2 goals) and Rielly had 10 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →