Who to start · 2025-26
Mitch Marner vs Tage Thompson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.
Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.
This week Marner has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Marner's 2.3.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Marner's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Goals above expected +3.2, High-danger chances 59.0%.
Thompson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 176, Hits 85, Hardest shot 97.9.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Tage Thompson
2.26
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marner | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.52 | 0.93 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marner vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marner 4G 21A, 32 SOG · Thompson 7G 7A, 60 SOG
Marner's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Marner's defensive zone 1–1 (2025-26)
Marner blocked 2 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 0 of Marner's.
On the ice against each other (Marner's side)
8:33 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marner's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–8
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.2
- 58.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marner | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | VGK 0–2 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-03 | VGK 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-15 | TOR 4–0 BUF | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-20 | TOR 6–3 BUF | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-15 | TOR 5–3 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-06 | TOR 2–1 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-21 | TOR 3–9 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 5S |
| 2023-11-04 | TOR 4–6 BUF | 1G 3A 1S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2023-03-13 | TOR 3–4 BUF | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 7S |
| 2023-02-21 | TOR 6–3 BUF | 0G 5A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-19 | TOR 5–2 BUF | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 9S |
| 2022-04-12 | TOR 2–5 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANALikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mitch Marner or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mitch Marner or Tage Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marner and Thompson done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 11–9. Marner had 25 points (4 goals) and Thompson had 14 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marner or Thompson?
- Against each other, Marner has won 1 and Thompson 2 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →