Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Rielly vs Nikolaj Ehlers
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.
Rielly had 36 points in 78 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.
This week Rielly has 1 game left; Ehlers has 1 left. We project Ehlers for 1.8 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.6.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Rielly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 114, On-ice PDO 1002.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.6, Plus/minus +8, Expected goals 56.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Rielly
1.61
fantasy points per game
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.65
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nikolaj Ehlers has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rielly | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.25 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.67 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rielly vs Ehlers
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rielly 1G 13A, 51 SOG · Ehlers 10G 8A, 71 SOG
Rielly blocked 5 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 2 of Rielly's.
On the ice against each other (Rielly's side)
12:16 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Rielly's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–20
- 39.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.5
- 49.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rielly | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | TOR 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-04 | TOR 5–1 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-09 | TOR 4–5 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2024-12-23 | TOR 2–5 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-28 | TOR 6–4 WPG | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-01-27 | TOR 4–2 WPG | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-24 | TOR 1–0 WPG | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-19 | TOR 4–1 WPG | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-03-31 | TOR 7–3 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2021-12-05 | TOR 3–6 WPG | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2021-04-24 | TOR 4–1 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-04-22 | TOR 5–3 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Morgan Rielly
3games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.6 pts
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Rielly or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Rielly had 36 points in 78 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Rielly or Nikolaj Ehlers?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rielly and Ehlers done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Rielly's team went 16–9. Rielly had 14 points (1 goals) and Ehlers had 18 (10 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →