Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Rielly vs Steven Stamkos
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.
Rielly had 36 points in 78 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.
This week Rielly has 1 game left; Stamkos has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Stamkos for 2.0 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.
Steven Stamkos has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Rielly's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.18, Transition attempts /60 0.63, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%.
Stamkos's biggest edges: Hardest shot 95.0, Penalty minutes 58, Forecheck xG /60 0.43.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Rielly
1.61
fantasy points per game
Steven Stamkos
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Steven Stamkos has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rielly | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.25 | 0.96 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.67 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rielly vs Stamkos
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rielly 6G 15A, 72 SOG · Stamkos 10G 23A, 94 SOG
Rielly blocked 5 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 3 of Rielly's.
On the ice against each other (Rielly's side)
7:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rielly's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–12
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.2
- 45.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rielly | Stamkos |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | TOR 3–5 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-10-14 | TOR 7–4 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-22 | TOR 2–5 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-04 | TOR 3–2 NSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-03 | TOR 1–4 TBL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-06 | TOR 6–5 TBL | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-21 | TOR 4–3 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-04-29 · PO | TOR 2–1 TBL | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-04-27 · PO | TOR 2–4 TBL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-04-24 · PO | TOR 5–4 TBL | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-22 · PO | TOR 4–3 TBL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-20 · PO | TOR 7–2 TBL | 0G 4A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 34 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Morgan Rielly
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Steven Stamkos
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Rielly or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Rielly had 36 points in 78 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Rielly or Steven Stamkos?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rielly and Stamkos done against each other?
- In 34 games against each other in our data, Rielly's team went 16–18. Rielly had 21 points (6 goals) and Stamkos had 33 (10 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →