Who to start · 2025-26
Nikolaj Ehlers vs Tage Thompson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.
Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.
This week Ehlers has 1 game left; Thompson has 1 left. We project Thompson for 2.4 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.6, Plus/minus +8, Scoring chances 58.5%.
Thompson's biggest edges: Hits 85, Faceoffs won 390, Blocked shots 48.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.65
fantasy points per game
Tage Thompson
2.26
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ehlers | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.56 | 0.93 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ehlers vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ehlers 2G 4A, 21 SOG · Thompson 3G 4A, 32 SOG
Ehlers blocked 1 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 0 of Ehlers's.
On the ice against each other (Ehlers's side)
17:33 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Ehlers's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–11
- 57.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.6
- 59.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ehlers | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | CAR 2–1 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2025-11-23 | CAR 1–4 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | CAR 6–3 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-03-23 | WPG 3–5 BUF | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-03 | WPG 5–2 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-26 | WPG 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-12 | WPG 4–2 BUF | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-03-30 | WPG 3–2 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-12-14 | WPG 2–4 BUF | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2018-11-16 | WPG 1–2 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nikolaj Ehlers or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nikolaj Ehlers or Tage Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ehlers and Thompson done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Ehlers's team went 5–5. Ehlers had 6 points (2 goals) and Thompson had 7 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →