Who to start · 2025-26
Parker Kelly vs Tage Thompson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.
This week Kelly has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Tage Thompson has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kelly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +7.5, Plus/minus +18, Forecheck xG /60 0.46.
Thompson's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 3:29, Power-play share 72.0%, Power-play points 24.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Tage Thompson
2.26
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kelly | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.61 | 0.93 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kelly vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kelly 0G 2A, 19 SOG · Thompson 10G 5A, 42 SOG
Kelly's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 0–1 · Kelly's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
Kelly blocked 1 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 0 of Kelly's.
On the ice against each other (Kelly's side)
3:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kelly's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–4
- 42.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.0
- 83.8%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kelly | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | COL 6–3 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-10-13 | COL 3–1 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-02 | COL 6–5 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2024-12-03 | COL 5–4 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-27 | OTT 6–2 BUF | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-01-11 | OTT 3–5 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2023-12-31 | OTT 5–1 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-24 | OTT 4–6 BUF | 0G 0A 3S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-01 | OTT 3–1 BUF | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-16 | OTT 4–1 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2022-10-13 | OTT 1–4 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-02-17 | OTT 3–1 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Parker Kelly or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Parker Kelly or Tage Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kelly and Thompson done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Kelly's team went 9–3. Kelly had 2 points (0 goals) and Thompson had 15 (10 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kelly or Thompson?
- Against each other, Kelly has won 2 and Thompson 3 of their 5 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →