Who to start · 2025-26
Seth Jarvis vs Tage Thompson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.
Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.
This week Jarvis has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.
Tage Thompson has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Fenwick 59.7%, Plus/minus +6, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.
Thompson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1014, Blocked shots 48, Hardest shot 97.9.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Tage Thompson
2.38
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Jarvis | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.99 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Jarvis vs Thompson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Jarvis 4G 5A, 32 SOG · Thompson 5G 5A, 38 SOG
Jarvis's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Jarvis's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
Jarvis blocked 1 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 1 of Jarvis's.
On the ice against each other (Jarvis's side)
5:55 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Jarvis's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–4
- 76.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.2
- 82.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Jarvis | Thompson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | CAR 2–1 BUF | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2025-11-23 | CAR 1–4 BUF | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | CAR 6–3 BUF | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-04-08 | CAR 0–3 BUF | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-27 | CAR 5–2 BUF | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-15 | CAR 2–4 BUF | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-02-25 | CAR 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-11-07 | CAR 3–2 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-08 | CAR 3–4 BUF | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-02-01 | CAR 5–1 BUF | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-04 | CAR 5–3 BUF | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-04-07 | CAR 5–3 BUF | 0G 2A 0S | 1G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Seth Jarvis or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Seth Jarvis or Tage Thompson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Jarvis and Thompson done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Jarvis's team went 8–6. Jarvis had 9 points (4 goals) and Thompson had 10 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Jarvis or Thompson?
- Against each other, Jarvis has won 1 and Thompson 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →