Who to start · 2025-26
Seth Jones vs Thomas Chabot
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Chabot projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jones's 1.96.
Jones had 32 points in 52 games; Chabot had 31 in 57 games.
This week Jones has 3 games left with 2 soft and 1 tough matchups; Chabot has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Jones for 5.8 to Chabot's 5.8 over the games left.
Thomas Chabot has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Jones's biggest edges: Ascension score 83, On-ice PDO 1009, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.05.
Chabot's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.58, Blocked shots 111, Offensive-zone start % 52.7%.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Seth Jones rates ahead, +8.4 to +4.0 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Jones is surging, 9 P in last 5 (0.63/GP before); Chabot is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.09 (was 3.14).
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 9 A, 5 PPP, 25 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 19 SOG.
Florida Panthers · Ottawa Senators · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Seth Jones
+8.4
category z-score total
Thomas Chabot
+4.0
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Seth Jones has the edge (Jones wins 5, Chabot wins 1 of 6 categories).
| Category | Jones | Chabot |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Assists / game | 0.68 | 0.39 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.05 | 0.27 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.40 | 0.12 |
| Shots on goal / game | 2.10 | 1.88 |
| Hits / game | 0.90 | 0.60 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Jones vs Chabot
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Jones 2G 7A, 38 SOG · Chabot 2G 2A, 27 SOG
Jones blocked 4 of Chabot's shots; Chabot blocked 0 of Jones's.
On the ice against each other (Jones's side)
6:55 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Jones's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–7
- 53.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.6
- 35.4%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Jones | Chabot |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | FLA 6–2 OTT | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-05 | FLA 0–3 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-02-17 | CHI 3–2 OTT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-06 | CHI 5–0 OTT | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-17 | CHI 4–3 OTT | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-12 | CHI 6–3 OTT | 0G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2021-11-01 | CHI 5–1 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-12-14 | CBJ 3–4 OTT | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2019-11-25 | CBJ 1–0 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-04-06 | CBJ 6–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2019-02-22 | CBJ 3–0 OTT | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2017-12-29 | CBJ 4–5 OTT | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Seth Jones
3games
5.8proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT1.7 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI2.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Thomas Chabot
3games
5.8proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.9 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.8 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Seth Jones or Thomas Chabot in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Chabot projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jones's 1.96. Jones had 32 points in 52 games; Chabot had 31 in 57 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Seth Jones or Thomas Chabot?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Thomas Chabot leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Jones and Chabot done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Jones's team went 10–3. Jones had 9 points (2 goals) and Chabot had 4 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →