Edgehalla

Draw Duel

Jacob Quillan faceoff stats, 2025-26

TOR · C · Left shot · full player page

Model rating

41.1%

90%: 36.4%–46.0% vs an average regular, on 162 draws since 2023-24

2025-26 FO%

42.0%

68 won of 162 (regular season)

Strong / weak side

42.6% / 37.7%

61 strong-side, 53 weak-side draws this season

Next game

No projection scheduled.

Where Quillan wins draws

Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.

33% · 21— · 760% · 10— · 846% · 48— · 6— · 746% · 2442% · 31
Offensive zone at the right, his left at the top. Warm = above 50%, cool = below; bigger circles = more draws. Hollow circles have under 10 draws.
Show as a table
Jacob Quillan faceoff win % by dot
DotDrawsWonFO%
OZ left21733.3%
OZ right7228.6%
NZ left (att.)10660.0%
NZ right (att.)8337.5%
Centre482245.8%
NZ left (def.)6233.3%
NZ right (def.)7228.6%
DZ left241145.8%
DZ right311341.9%

Toughest and easiest opponents

Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.

Toughest

Easiest

Splits by season

Faceoff win % by season and situation, with draws taken.
SeasonAllEVPPPKOZNZDZStrongWeak
2025-2642.0% 16242.3% 149— 038.5% 1332.1% 2844.3% 7943.6% 5542.6% 6137.7% 53

Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.

Head-to-head, last three seasons

Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.

Head-to-head faceoff records with model expectation and shrunk estimate.
OpponentRecordRawModelBlendedUnusual?
Lars Eller4–450.0%39.5%39.7%normal luck (z 0.6)
Tim Washe3–442.9%35.4%35.5%normal luck (z 0.4)
Casey Cizikas2–433.3%39.5%39.4%normal luck (z -0.3)
Bo Horvat2–340.0%36.3%36.3%normal luck (z 0.2)
Claude Giroux2–340.0%32.3%32.3%normal luck (z 0.4)
Mark Jankowski3–260.0%40.9%41.1%normal luck (z 0.9)
Fraser Minten1–325.0%42.4%42.3%normal luck (z -0.7)
Sean Kuraly1–325.0%38.6%38.5%normal luck (z -0.6)
Phillip Danault1–325.0%39.6%39.4%normal luck (z -0.6)
Matt Duchene3–175.0%37.0%37.3%a bit unusual (z 1.6)
Yanni Gourde1–325.0%45.1%44.9%normal luck (z -0.8)
Cole Schwindt2–166.7%44.8%44.9%normal luck (z 0.8)

Last 10 games

Faceoffs taken and won in his last ten games.
DateOppFOWDrawsFO%
2026-04-15@ OTT41233.3%
2026-04-13vs DAL41233.3%
2026-04-11vs FLA7887.5%
2026-04-09@ NYI2540.0%
2026-04-08vs WSH3560.0%
2026-04-02@ SJS060.0%
2026-03-30@ ANA21020.0%
2026-03-28@ STL7887.5%
2026-03-25vs NYR1616.7%
2026-03-24@ BOS31030.0%

Projected faceoffs won

No upcoming games projected.

FAQ

What is Jacob Quillan's faceoff percentage?

The season line above shows Jacob Quillan's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.

How many faceoffs will Jacob Quillan win tonight?

When Jacob Quillan has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.

Is Jacob Quillan better on his strong side?

Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.