Draw Duel
Tim Washe faceoff stats, 2025-26
ANA · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
56.3%
90%: 53.4%–59.3% vs an average regular, on 586 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
58.0%
225 won of 388 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
66.9% / 45.1%
154 strong-side, 175 weak-side draws this season
Next game
8.1 FOW
2026-10-04 vs FLA: 14 draws at 57.5%, range 4–12
Where Washe wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 45 | 30 | 66.7% |
| OZ right | 31 | 17 | 54.8% |
| NZ left (att.) | 12 | 9 | 75.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| Centre | 59 | 43 | 72.9% |
| NZ left (def.) | 13 | 9 | 69.2% |
| NZ right (def.) | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| DZ left | 84 | 55 | 65.5% |
| DZ right | 125 | 54 | 43.2% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R47.5%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L48.1%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R48.6%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R49.1%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L49.2%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L49.4%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L68.1%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L67.9%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L67.0%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L65.4%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R65.2%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L65.1%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 52.4% 21 | 62.5% 16 | — 0 | 20.0% 5 | 50.0% 2 | 50.0% 6 | 53.8% 13 | 50.0% 10 | 42.9% 7 |
| 2025-26 | 58.0% 388 | 61.3% 320 | 100.0% 3 | 40.0% 65 | 61.8% 76 | 67.0% 103 | 52.2% 209 | 66.9% 154 | 45.1% 175 |
| 2024-25 | 50.0% 8 | 50.0% 8 | — 0 | — 0 | 100.0% 1 | 0.0% 1 | 50.0% 6 | 100.0% 2 | 40.0% 5 |
| Playoffs (all) | 59.2% 169 | 59.3% 135 | 80.0% 5 | 55.2% 29 | 69.2% 26 | 61.2% 49 | 55.3% 94 | 68.4% 57 | 51.9% 79 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 31–19 | 62.0% | 50.8% | 51.8% | a bit unusual (z 1.6) |
| Jack Eichel | 20–14 | 58.8% | 60.6% | 60.5% | normal luck (z -0.2) |
| William Karlsson | 16–11 | 59.3% | 51.1% | 51.6% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Connor McDavid | 18–7 | 72.0% | 57.3% | 58.0% | a bit unusual (z 1.5) |
| Tomas Hertl | 10–12 | 45.5% | 48.6% | 48.4% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Nic Dowd | 12–6 | 66.7% | 57.5% | 57.8% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Josh Samanski | 9–7 | 56.3% | 60.7% | 60.5% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Mark Scheifele | 8–5 | 61.5% | 60.0% | 60.0% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Chandler Stephenson | 4–8 | 33.3% | 49.0% | 48.6% | a bit unusual (z -1.1) |
| Macklin Celebrini | 7–3 | 70.0% | 60.8% | 60.9% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
| Morgan Frost | 2–8 | 20.0% | 52.7% | 52.0% | unusual (z -2.1) |
| Jack Roslovic | 6–4 | 60.0% | 56.4% | 56.5% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | @ VGK | 11 | 21 | 52.4% |
| 2026-05-14 | vs VGK | 12 | 19 | 63.2% |
| 2026-05-12 | @ VGK | 6 | 11 | 54.5% |
| 2026-05-10 | vs VGK | 5 | 11 | 45.5% |
| 2026-05-08 | vs VGK | 9 | 14 | 64.3% |
| 2026-05-06 | @ VGK | 5 | 13 | 38.5% |
| 2026-05-04 | @ VGK | 9 | 13 | 69.2% |
| 2026-04-30 | vs EDM | 13 | 15 | 86.7% |
| 2026-04-28 | @ EDM | 6 | 12 | 50.0% |
| 2026-04-26 | vs EDM | 7 | 11 | 63.6% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-04 vs FLA likely opponents: Anton Lundell (55%), Aleksander Barkov (52%)8.1 FOW 4–12
- 2026-10-07 vs EDM likely opponents: Leon Draisaitl (54%), Owen Michaels (66%)8.7 FOW 4–13
- 2026-10-09 vs WPG likely opponents: Adam Lowry (53%), Jonathan Toews (48%)7.9 FOW 4–12
- 2026-10-10 vs CGY likely opponents: Mikael Backlund (56%), Morgan Frost (54%)8.2 FOW 4–12
FAQ
What is Tim Washe's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Tim Washe's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Tim Washe win tonight?
When Tim Washe has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Tim Washe better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.