Edgehalla

Draw Duel

Jordan Greenway faceoff stats, 2025-26

CHI · L · Left shot · full player page

Model rating

35.9%

90%: 30.8%–41.4% vs an average regular, on 147 draws since 2023-24

2025-26 FO%

24.2%

8 won of 33 (regular season)

Strong / weak side

8.3% / 35.7%

12 strong-side, 14 weak-side draws this season

Next game

No projection scheduled.

Where Greenway wins draws

Win % at every dot, 2026-27 and 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.

— · 4— · 3— · 3— · 2— · 7— · 6— · 6— · 3
Offensive zone at the right, his left at the top. Warm = above 50%, cool = below; bigger circles = more draws. Hollow circles have under 10 draws.
Show as a table
Jordan Greenway faceoff win % by dot
DotDrawsWonFO%
OZ left4125.0%
OZ right300.0%
NZ left (att.)300.0%
NZ right (att.)200.0%
Centre7228.6%
NZ left (def.)00—
NZ right (def.)6350.0%
DZ left600.0%
DZ right3266.7%

Toughest and easiest opponents

Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.

Toughest

Easiest

Splits by season

Faceoff win % by season and situation, with draws taken.
SeasonAllEVPPPKOZNZDZStrongWeak
2026-270.0% 10.0% 1— 0— 0— 0— 00.0% 10.0% 1— 0
2025-2624.2% 3319.0% 21— 033.3% 1214.3% 727.8% 1825.0% 88.3% 1235.7% 14
2024-2520.6% 3418.2% 220.0% 127.3% 1114.3% 720.0% 1023.5% 1721.1% 1918.2% 11
2023-2429.8% 5730.8% 390.0% 129.4% 1722.2% 1847.1% 1722.7% 2228.6% 2820.0% 20
Playoffs (all)50.0% 2250.0% 6— 050.0% 16100.0% 150.0% 646.7% 1542.9% 1460.0% 5

Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.

Head-to-head, last three seasons

Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.

Head-to-head faceoff records with model expectation and shrunk estimate.
OpponentRecordRawModelBlendedUnusual?
Nick Suzuki5–741.7%36.3%36.5%normal luck (z 0.4)
Ryan Hartman1–325.0%39.2%39.1%normal luck (z -0.6)
Alex Newhook1–233.3%38.1%38.0%normal luck (z -0.2)
Jake Evans1–233.3%31.6%31.6%normal luck (z 0.1)
Elias Lindholm2–166.7%31.0%31.2%a bit unusual (z 1.3)
Dylan Larkin1–233.3%31.7%31.7%normal luck (z 0.1)
Jesperi Kotkaniemi0–20.0%34.3%34.2%a bit unusual (z -1.0)
Dylan Strome1–150.0%33.9%34.0%normal luck (z 0.5)
Juraj Slafkovský2–0100.0%56.9%57.0%a bit unusual (z 1.2)
Ryan Strome1–150.0%41.9%41.9%normal luck (z 0.2)
Nick Schmaltz0–20.0%40.0%39.9%a bit unusual (z -1.2)
Sean Kuraly1–150.0%29.7%29.8%normal luck (z 0.6)

Last 10 games

Faceoffs taken and won in his last ten games.
DateOppFOWDrawsFO%
2026-09-29@ VGK010.0%
2026-05-16@ MTL1250.0%
2026-05-14vs MTL11100.0%
2026-05-12@ MTL040.0%
2026-05-10@ MTL3837.5%
2026-05-08vs MTL22100.0%
2026-05-06vs MTL1250.0%
2026-04-28vs BOS22100.0%
2026-04-19vs BOS11100.0%
2026-04-06vs TBL010.0%

Projected faceoffs won

No upcoming games projected.

FAQ

What is Jordan Greenway's faceoff percentage?

The season line above shows Jordan Greenway's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.

How many faceoffs will Jordan Greenway win tonight?

When Jordan Greenway has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.

Is Jordan Greenway better on his strong side?

Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.