Draw Duel
Nino Niederreiter faceoff stats, 2025-26
WPG · R · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
39.9%
90%: 34.0%–46.0% vs an average regular, on 118 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
42.9%
3 won of 7 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
75.0% / 0.0%
4 strong-side, 2 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Niederreiter wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 and 2024-25 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 25 | 13 | 52.0% |
| OZ right | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Centre | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| NZ left (def.) | 4 | 2 | 50.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| DZ left | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| DZ right | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R31.8%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L32.5%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R32.7%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R33.2%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L33.4%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L33.6%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L52.8%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L52.5%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L51.3%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L49.6%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L49.3%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R49.1%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 42.9% 7 | 50.0% 6 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | 50.0% 4 | 0.0% 2 | 100.0% 1 | 75.0% 4 | 0.0% 2 |
| 2024-25 | 43.5% 46 | 46.9% 32 | 35.7% 14 | — 0 | 51.9% 27 | 27.3% 11 | 37.5% 8 | 50.0% 32 | 27.3% 11 |
| 2023-24 | 45.6% 57 | 37.0% 27 | 53.3% 30 | — 0 | 47.2% 36 | 44.4% 9 | 41.7% 12 | 45.7% 35 | 42.1% 19 |
| Playoffs (all) | 50.0% 8 | 33.3% 3 | 60.0% 5 | — 0 | 50.0% 4 | 50.0% 4 | — 0 | 66.7% 6 | 0.0% 1 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yakov Trenin | 2–2 | 50.0% | 47.5% | 47.5% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Andrew Copp | 1–3 | 25.0% | 37.0% | 36.9% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Elias Lindholm | 0–4 | 0.0% | 34.3% | 34.0% | a bit unusual (z -1.4) |
| Ryan Poehling | 2–1 | 66.7% | 43.1% | 43.3% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Elias Pettersson | 1–1 | 50.0% | 50.4% | 50.4% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
| Kevin Stenlund | 0–2 | 0.0% | 33.9% | 33.7% | a bit unusual (z -1.0) |
| Isac Lundeström | 2–0 | 100.0% | 48.4% | 48.6% | a bit unusual (z 1.5) |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 1–1 | 50.0% | 44.1% | 44.1% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Colton Sissons | 1–1 | 50.0% | 35.9% | 35.9% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Curtis Lazar | 1–1 | 50.0% | 35.4% | 35.5% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Jake Evans | 1–1 | 50.0% | 36.1% | 36.1% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Noel Acciari | 1–1 | 50.0% | 36.4% | 36.5% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | @ VGK | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-11 | vs NJD | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-29 | @ NSH | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-21 | vs CAR | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-15 | @ CGY | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2025-11-07 | @ SJS | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2025-10-11 | vs LAK | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2025-05-17 | @ DAL | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-05-02 | @ STL | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2025-04-10 | @ DAL | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is Nino Niederreiter's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Nino Niederreiter's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Nino Niederreiter win tonight?
When Nino Niederreiter has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Nino Niederreiter better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.