Edgehalla

Draw Duel

Yakov Trenin faceoff stats, 2025-26

MIN · C · Left shot · full player page

Model rating

44.6%

90%: 40.8%–48.4% vs an average regular, on 497 draws since 2023-24

2025-26 FO%

38.3%

46 won of 120 (regular season)

Strong / weak side

38.3% / 42.6%

47 strong-side, 54 weak-side draws this season

Next game

No projection scheduled.

Where Trenin wins draws

Win % at every dot, 2026-27 and 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.

47% · 1943% · 14— · 6— · 425% · 20— · 745% · 1127% · 1542% · 26
Offensive zone at the right, his left at the top. Warm = above 50%, cool = below; bigger circles = more draws. Hollow circles have under 10 draws.
Show as a table
Yakov Trenin faceoff win % by dot
DotDrawsWonFO%
OZ left19947.4%
OZ right14642.9%
NZ left (att.)6350.0%
NZ right (att.)4125.0%
Centre20525.0%
NZ left (def.)7228.6%
NZ right (def.)11545.5%
DZ left15426.7%
DZ right261142.3%

Toughest and easiest opponents

Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.

Toughest

Easiest

Splits by season

Faceoff win % by season and situation, with draws taken.
SeasonAllEVPPPKOZNZDZStrongWeak
2026-270.0% 20.0% 2— 0— 0— 00.0% 10.0% 1— 00.0% 1
2025-2638.3% 12038.8% 980.0% 138.1% 2145.5% 3334.0% 4737.5% 4038.3% 4742.6% 54
2024-2543.8% 4848.8% 410.0% 116.7% 650.0% 1837.5% 1642.9% 1447.6% 2142.9% 21
2023-2445.0% 22046.5% 14450.0% 241.9% 7447.9% 4853.2% 6239.1% 11045.3% 8642.3% 97
Playoffs (all)42.1% 10742.9% 70— 040.5% 3760.0% 1044.4% 3637.7% 6143.3% 3038.3% 60

Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.

Head-to-head, last three seasons

Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.

Head-to-head faceoff records with model expectation and shrunk estimate.
OpponentRecordRawModelBlendedUnusual?
Jordan Staal2–625.0%36.3%36.1%normal luck (z -0.7)
Josh Samanski3–260.0%49.1%49.2%normal luck (z 0.5)
Nazem Kadri1–325.0%45.8%45.6%normal luck (z -0.8)
Mason McTavish1–233.3%44.4%44.3%normal luck (z -0.4)
Mavrik Bourque1–233.3%49.6%49.5%normal luck (z -0.6)
Jack Drury1–233.3%33.1%33.1%normal luck (z 0.0)
Mark Jankowski1–233.3%45.7%45.7%normal luck (z -0.4)
Tomas Hertl1–233.3%43.1%43.1%normal luck (z -0.3)
Evgeni Malkin0–30.0%42.3%42.0%a bit unusual (z -1.5)
Curtis Lazar1–233.3%39.1%39.1%normal luck (z -0.2)
Matt Duchene0–30.0%38.7%38.5%a bit unusual (z -1.4)
Nicolas Roy2–166.7%45.3%45.4%normal luck (z 0.7)

Last 10 games

Faceoffs taken and won in his last ten games.
DateOppFOWDrawsFO%
2026-10-03vs BOS010.0%
2026-10-01@ NSH010.0%
2026-05-11vs COL010.0%
2026-05-09vs COL010.0%
2026-04-13@ STL020.0%
2026-04-11@ NSH1250.0%
2026-04-09@ DAL020.0%
2026-04-07vs SEA010.0%
2026-04-04@ OTT010.0%
2026-03-24@ TBL11100.0%

Projected faceoffs won

No upcoming games projected.

FAQ

What is Yakov Trenin's faceoff percentage?

The season line above shows Yakov Trenin's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.

How many faceoffs will Yakov Trenin win tonight?

When Yakov Trenin has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.

Is Yakov Trenin better on his strong side?

Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.