Draw Duel
Andrew Copp faceoff stats, 2025-26
DET · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
52.5%
90%: 50.6%–54.4% vs an average regular, on 2,639 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
54.2%
537 won of 990 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
54.7% / 53.6%
490 strong-side, 306 weak-side draws this season
Next game
9.5 FOW
2026-10-04 vs WPG: 17 draws at 55.8%, range 5–14
Where Copp wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 244 | 137 | 56.1% |
| OZ right | 108 | 54 | 50.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 26 | 12 | 46.2% |
| NZ right (att.) | 32 | 21 | 65.6% |
| Centre | 194 | 105 | 54.1% |
| NZ left (def.) | 39 | 26 | 66.7% |
| NZ right (def.) | 23 | 9 | 39.1% |
| DZ left | 181 | 93 | 51.4% |
| DZ right | 143 | 80 | 55.9% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R43.7%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L44.3%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R44.8%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R45.3%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L45.3%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L45.5%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L65.0%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L64.7%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L63.7%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L62.0%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L61.7%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R61.7%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 52.4% 21 | 61.5% 13 | 75.0% 4 | 0.0% 4 | 83.3% 6 | 50.0% 8 | 28.6% 7 | 50.0% 14 | 50.0% 4 |
| 2025-26 | 54.2% 990 | 54.6% 848 | 57.1% 77 | 46.2% 65 | 54.3% 352 | 55.1% 314 | 53.4% 324 | 54.7% 490 | 53.6% 306 |
| 2024-25 | 50.7% 627 | 51.2% 559 | 46.2% 26 | 47.6% 42 | 54.3% 219 | 44.6% 184 | 52.2% 224 | 54.5% 321 | 45.6% 182 |
| 2023-24 | 53.5% 1001 | 54.1% 833 | 77.5% 40 | 42.2% 128 | 59.0% 256 | 53.8% 316 | 50.1% 429 | 56.3% 520 | 49.3% 286 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Lindholm | 23–17 | 57.5% | 46.7% | 47.5% | a bit unusual (z 1.4) |
| Nico Hischier | 21–12 | 63.6% | 49.3% | 50.2% | a bit unusual (z 1.6) |
| Nick Suzuki | 17–13 | 56.7% | 51.7% | 52.0% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Christian Dvorak | 10–19 | 34.5% | 48.4% | 47.6% | a bit unusual (z -1.5) |
| Sidney Crosby | 16–13 | 55.2% | 47.0% | 47.5% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
| Mika Zibanejad | 12–16 | 42.9% | 49.8% | 49.4% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Dylan Cozens | 11–14 | 44.0% | 52.2% | 51.8% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| John Tavares | 13–11 | 54.2% | 47.3% | 47.6% | normal luck (z 0.7) |
| Sebastian Aho | 6–15 | 28.6% | 51.4% | 50.5% | unusual (z -2.1) |
| Shane Pinto | 13–7 | 65.0% | 51.1% | 51.6% | a bit unusual (z 1.2) |
| Trevor Zegras | 10–9 | 52.6% | 64.7% | 64.2% | a bit unusual (z -1.1) |
| Charlie Coyle | 9–9 | 50.0% | 50.6% | 50.5% | normal luck (z -0.0) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | vs NYR | 11 | 21 | 52.4% |
| 2026-04-15 | @ FLA | 9 | 11 | 81.8% |
| 2026-04-13 | @ TBL | 7 | 10 | 70.0% |
| 2026-04-11 | vs NJD | 10 | 20 | 50.0% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs PHI | 7 | 10 | 70.0% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CBJ | 9 | 19 | 47.4% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIN | 8 | 13 | 61.5% |
| 2026-04-04 | @ NYR | 7 | 16 | 43.8% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ PHI | 3 | 9 | 33.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ PIT | 12 | 20 | 60.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-04 vs WPG likely opponents: Adam Lowry (52%), Jonathan Toews (47%)9.5 FOW 5–14
- 2026-10-06 vs OTT likely opponents: Claude Giroux (44%), Lars Eller (53%)9.3 FOW 5–14
- 2026-10-09 vs SEA likely opponents: Chandler Stephenson (54%), Matty Beniers (57%)10.1 FOW 5–15
- 2026-10-10 vs MTL likely opponents: Nick Suzuki (51%), Phillip Danault (51%)9.1 FOW 4–14
FAQ
What is Andrew Copp's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Andrew Copp's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Andrew Copp win tonight?
When Andrew Copp has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Andrew Copp better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.