Draw Duel
Colton Sissons faceoff stats, 2025-26
TOR · C · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
53.8%
90%: 51.8%–55.8% vs an average regular, on 2,620 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
56.5%
347 won of 614 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
56.2% / 53.9%
338 strong-side, 152 weak-side draws this season
Next game
4.2 FOW
2026-10-06 vs NSH: 8 draws at 55.7%, range 1–7
Where Sissons wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 29 | 12 | 41.4% |
| OZ right | 71 | 40 | 56.3% |
| NZ left (att.) | 20 | 8 | 40.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 16 | 10 | 62.5% |
| Centre | 124 | 75 | 60.5% |
| NZ left (def.) | 21 | 9 | 42.9% |
| NZ right (def.) | 21 | 10 | 47.6% |
| DZ left | 82 | 53 | 64.6% |
| DZ right | 230 | 130 | 56.5% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R45.1%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L45.5%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R46.2%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L46.6%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R46.7%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L46.8%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L66.4%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L66.0%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L65.0%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L63.4%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L63.1%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R62.8%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 56.5% 23 | 64.7% 17 | — 0 | 33.3% 6 | 100.0% 3 | 50.0% 6 | 50.0% 14 | 57.1% 21 | 50.0% 2 |
| 2025-26 | 56.5% 614 | 58.0% 459 | 61.9% 21 | 50.7% 134 | 52.0% 100 | 55.4% 202 | 58.7% 312 | 56.2% 338 | 53.9% 152 |
| 2024-25 | 54.8% 624 | 56.8% 454 | 30.4% 23 | 52.4% 147 | 55.7% 149 | 56.4% 156 | 53.6% 319 | 54.3% 403 | 58.9% 129 |
| 2023-24 | 52.6% 1176 | 54.6% 829 | 55.6% 99 | 44.4% 248 | 56.5% 262 | 52.3% 344 | 50.9% 570 | 53.9% 683 | 48.7% 275 |
| Playoffs (all) | 53.0% 183 | 53.3% 137 | 77.8% 9 | 45.9% 37 | 70.0% 40 | 42.6% 47 | 51.0% 96 | 55.6% 135 | 36.4% 22 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 11–18 | 37.9% | 56.8% | 55.7% | unusual (z -2.0) |
| Leon Draisaitl | 11–14 | 44.0% | 50.1% | 49.8% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Sebastian Aho | 12–12 | 50.0% | 52.5% | 52.4% | normal luck (z -0.2) |
| Bo Horvat | 9–9 | 50.0% | 49.1% | 49.1% | normal luck (z 0.1) |
| Mark Jankowski | 8–10 | 44.4% | 54.8% | 54.5% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Nick Foligno | 10–8 | 55.6% | 56.2% | 56.2% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Brayden Schenn | 8–10 | 44.4% | 52.9% | 52.6% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Jordan Staal | 3–15 | 16.7% | 47.1% | 46.1% | unusual (z -2.6) |
| Connor Zary | 8–9 | 47.1% | 60.3% | 59.9% | a bit unusual (z -1.1) |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 10–6 | 62.5% | 58.9% | 59.0% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Dylan Larkin | 6–10 | 37.5% | 51.0% | 50.6% | a bit unusual (z -1.1) |
| Dylan Strome | 8–8 | 50.0% | 49.7% | 49.7% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs OTT | 4 | 6 | 66.7% |
| 2026-09-30 | vs NYI | 7 | 12 | 58.3% |
| 2026-09-29 | vs MTL | 2 | 5 | 40.0% |
| 2026-06-14 | vs CAR | 3 | 11 | 27.3% |
| 2026-06-11 | @ CAR | 1 | 5 | 20.0% |
| 2026-06-09 | vs CAR | 3 | 6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-06-06 | vs CAR | 1 | 6 | 16.7% |
| 2026-06-04 | @ CAR | 2 | 6 | 33.3% |
| 2026-06-02 | @ CAR | 10 | 15 | 66.7% |
| 2026-05-26 | vs COL | 4 | 8 | 50.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-06 vs NSH likely opponents: Ryan O'Reilly (51%), Jack Drury (47%)4.2 FOW 1–7
- 2026-10-08 vs VGK likely opponents: Jack Eichel (58%), William Karlsson (50%)4.1 FOW 1–7
- 2026-10-10 vs COL likely opponents: Brock Nelson (54%), Nathan MacKinnon (57%)4.3 FOW 1–7
FAQ
What is Colton Sissons's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Colton Sissons's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Colton Sissons win tonight?
When Colton Sissons has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Colton Sissons better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.