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Who to start · 2025-26

Andrei Svechnikov vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 2.02.

Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Svechnikov has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Svechnikov's 2.1.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Svechnikov's biggest edges: Ascension score 62, Hits 148, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1054, Faceoffs won 681, Blocked shots 35.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andrei Svechnikov

2.02

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSvechnikovMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.691.49
Assists (+1)0.490.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.46
Hits (+0.1)0.220.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Svechnikov vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SvechnikovMacKinnon
5Team record in 12 meetings7
11Points in those games18

Svechnikov 6G 5A, 44 SOG · MacKinnon 6G 12A, 53 SOG

2Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Svechnikov's side)

9:44 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Svechnikov's side

Shot attempts
13–9
59.1%
Expected goals
1.1–0.8
58.9%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Andrei Svechnikov and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreSvechnikovMacKinnon
2026-01-03CAR 3–5 COL1G 0A 4S1G 3A 2S
2025-10-23CAR 5–4 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-12-05CAR 5–3 COL1G 3A 4S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-09CAR 4–6 COL0G 1A 2S1G 3A 7S
2022-11-17CAR 2–3 COL0G 0A 7S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-12CAR 1–4 COL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2022-04-16CAR 4–7 COL1G 0A 3S2G 0A 5S
2022-03-10CAR 2–0 COL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 6S
2020-02-28CAR 2–3 COL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 6S
2019-12-19CAR 3–1 COL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2019-03-11CAR 3–0 COL2G 1A 3S0G 0A 7S
2018-10-20CAR 1–3 COL0G 0A 6S1G 2A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SvechnikovMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andrei Svechnikov

3games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.1 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Andrei Svechnikov or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 2.02. Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andrei Svechnikov or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Svechnikov and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Svechnikov's team went 5–7. Svechnikov had 11 points (6 goals) and MacKinnon had 18 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →