Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Dylan Larkin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Larkin has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Larkin's 1.8.
Dylan Larkin has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, On-ice PDO 1016, Offensive-zone start % 58.9%.
Larkin's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 186, Penalty minutes 48, Corsi 50.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Matthews leads Larkin 74–62.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.56
fantasy points per game
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.92 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.68 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Larkin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 12G 16A, 100 SOG · Larkin 13G 12A, 90 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 24–26 · neutral 33–22 · Matthews's defensive zone 17–14 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Matthews blocked 5 of Larkin's shots; Larkin blocked 1 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
37:27 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 35–40
- 46.7%
- Expected goals
- 1.5–1.7
- 46.8%
- Goals
- 0–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Larkin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | TOR 1–2 DET | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2025-12-28 | TOR 2–3 DET | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-13 | TOR 2–3 DET | 0G 1A 8S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-11 | TOR 3–6 DET | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-04-17 | TOR 4–3 DET | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-14 | TOR 2–4 DET | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-13 | TOR 4–5 DET | 1G 0A 10S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-01-14 | TOR 2–4 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2023-11-17 | TOR 3–2 DET | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-02 | TOR 2–5 DET | 0G 1A 6S | 3G 0A 5S |
| 2023-01-07 | TOR 4–1 DET | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-28 | TOR 4–2 DET | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
Dylan Larkin
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYRSchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Dylan Larkin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Larkin's 2.13. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Larkin had 67 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Dylan Larkin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Larkin leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Larkin done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 15–10. Matthews had 28 points (12 goals) and Larkin had 25 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Larkin?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 74 and Larkin 62 of their 136 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →