Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Fabian Zetterlund

Rising14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before)
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 1.98 (was 2.75)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Fabian Zetterlund's 1.16.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Zetterlund had 33 in 82 games.

This week McDavid has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Zetterlund has 3 left with 1 soft and 2 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 6.1 to Zetterlund's 3.6 over the games left.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 457, Ice time per game 22:59, Ice-time share 37.9%.

Zetterlund's biggest edges: Hardest shot 94.3, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.011, Hits 155.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +21.0 to +0.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McDavid is rising, 14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before); Zetterlund is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.98 (was 2.75).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 20 A, 8 PPP, 22 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 15 SOG.

Edmonton Oilers · Ottawa Senators · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

+21.0

category z-score total

Fabian Zetterlund

+0.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (McDavid wins 5, Zetterlund wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcDavidZetterlund
Goals / game0.620.17
Assists / game1.520.21
Plus/minus / game0.84-0.01
Power-play points / game0.740.10
Shots on goal / game3.251.63
Hits / game0.852.10

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Zetterlund

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidZetterlund
8Team record in 11 meetings3
18Points in those games5

McDavid 5G 13A, 44 SOG · Zetterlund 2G 3A, 17 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

3:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
1–2
33.3%
Expected goals
0.0–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Fabian Zetterlund
DateScoreMcDavidZetterlund
2026-03-03EDM 5–4 OTT0G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-21EDM 3–2 OTT1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-21EDM 3–2 SJS0G 3A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-15EDM 9–2 SJS1G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2023-12-28EDM 5–0 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-09EDM 2–3 SJS0G 0A 4S1G 1A 2S
2023-04-13EDM 5–2 SJS0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-08EDM 6–1 SJS2G 1A 6S0G 0A 3S
2023-03-20EDM 5–4 SJS0G 2A 7S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-21EDM 2–5 NJD0G 1A 5S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-03EDM 3–4 NJD1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidZetterlund

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Connor McDavid

3games (2 left)

6.1proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs MIN
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs CAR2.9 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −3.0 win%Likely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs TOR3.2 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

Fabian Zetterlund

3games

3.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs SJSB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Fabian Zetterlund in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Fabian Zetterlund's 1.16. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Zetterlund had 33 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Fabian Zetterlund?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Zetterlund done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 8–3. McDavid had 18 points (5 goals) and Zetterlund had 5 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →