Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Mason Marchment

Rising14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before)
CoolingPP1 in 1 of last 5 (was 15 of 20)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mason Marchment's 1.39.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Marchment had 45 in 68 games.

This week McDavid has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Marchment has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 6.2 to Marchment's 2.8 over the games left.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.6, Ascension score 80, 20+ mph bursts 681.

Marchment's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1046, Hardest shot 87.2, Hits 84.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +21.0 to +0.4 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McDavid is rising, 14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before); Marchment is cooling, PP1 in 1 of last 5 (was 15 of 20).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 20 A, 8 PPP, 22 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 3 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 21 SOG.

Edmonton Oilers · San Jose Sharks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

+21.0

category z-score total

Mason Marchment

+0.4

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (McDavid wins 5, Marchment wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcDavidMarchment
Goals / game0.620.29
Assists / game1.520.23
Plus/minus / game0.84-0.05
Power-play points / game0.740.06
Shots on goal / game3.251.89
Hits / game0.851.42

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Marchment

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidMarchment
15Team record in 24 meetings9
34Points in those games11

McDavid 10G 24A, 88 SOG · Marchment 3G 8A, 48 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other1

McDavid's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 2–1 (2021-22 to 2023-24)

1Hits on each other6
1Shots blocked by the other0

McDavid blocked 1 of Marchment's shots; Marchment blocked 0 of McDavid's.

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

11:40 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
14–2
87.5%
Expected goals
0.9–0.0
97.8%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Mason Marchment
DateScoreMcDavidMarchment
2026-10-10EDM 3–1 SJS0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-29EDM 4–0 SEA1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-25EDM 2–3 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-29 · POEDM 6–3 DAL1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-27 · POEDM 4–1 DAL0G 2A 3S0G 0A 5S
2025-05-25 · POEDM 6–1 DAL2G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-05-23 · POEDM 3–0 DAL0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-21 · POEDM 3–6 DAL0G 2A 4S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-08EDM 5–4 DAL1G 1A 4S0G 1A 0S
2024-10-19EDM 1–4 DAL0G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2024-06-02 · POEDM 2–1 DAL1G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-05-31 · POEDM 3–1 DAL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidMarchment

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Connor McDavid

3games (2 left)

6.2proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs CAR2.8 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −3.0 win%Likely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs TOR3.3 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

Mason Marchment

4games (2 left)

2.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT1.5 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Mason Marchment in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mason Marchment's 1.39. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Marchment had 45 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Mason Marchment?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Marchment done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 15–9. McDavid had 34 points (10 goals) and Marchment had 11 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Marchment?
Against each other, McDavid has won 2 and Marchment 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →