Who to start · 2025-26
Mikko Rantanen vs Mitch Marner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.
Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.
This week Rantanen has 1 game left; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Rantanen's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 93, Top skating speed 22.8, Luck Meter +27.
Marner's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.2, Corsi 54.5%, Fenwick 55.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mikko Rantanen
2.21
fantasy points per game
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rantanen | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.81 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rantanen vs Marner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rantanen 5G 6A, 24 SOG · Marner 4G 6A, 20 SOG
Rantanen's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 0–0 · Rantanen's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)
Rantanen blocked 2 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 1 of Rantanen's.
On the ice against each other (Rantanen's side)
3:27 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Rantanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–2
- 66.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.4
- 53.8%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rantanen | Marner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | DAL 5–4 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-22 | CAR 3–6 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-24 | COL 3–4 TOR | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2024-01-13 | COL 5–3 TOR | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-15 | COL 2–1 TOR | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-12-31 | COL 2–6 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2021-12-01 | COL 3–8 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2019-12-04 | COL 3–1 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-02-12 | COL 2–5 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2019-01-14 | COL 6–3 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2018-01-22 | COL 4–2 TOR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2017-12-29 | COL 4–3 TOR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mikko Rantanen
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANALikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mikko Rantanen or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mikko Rantanen or Mitch Marner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rantanen and Marner done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Rantanen's team went 7–5. Rantanen had 11 points (5 goals) and Marner had 10 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Rantanen or Marner?
- Against each other, Rantanen has won 2 and Marner 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →