Who to start · 2025-26
Mikko Rantanen vs Morgan Rielly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.
Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.
This week Rantanen has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.
Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Rantanen's biggest edges: Expected goals 54.4%, Sequence xG 54.3%, Plus/minus 0.
Rielly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.9, Transition attempts /60 0.63, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.18.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mikko Rantanen
2.21
fantasy points per game
Morgan Rielly
1.61
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Rantanen | Rielly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.64 | 0.25 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.81 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.67 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Rantanen vs Rielly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Rantanen 5G 10A, 29 SOG · Rielly 2G 5A, 28 SOG
Rantanen blocked 0 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 1 of Rantanen's.
On the ice against each other (Rantanen's side)
7:05 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rantanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–8
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.1
- 55.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Rantanen | Rielly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | DAL 6–5 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-21 | DAL 5–1 TOR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-02-22 | CAR 3–6 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-02-24 | COL 3–4 TOR | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-01-13 | COL 5–3 TOR | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-15 | COL 2–1 TOR | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-31 | COL 2–6 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-01-08 | COL 5–4 TOR | 0G 4A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-12-01 | COL 3–8 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-12-04 | COL 3–1 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2019-02-12 | COL 2–5 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-01-14 | COL 6–3 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mikko Rantanen
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Morgan Rielly
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mikko Rantanen or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mikko Rantanen or Morgan Rielly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Rantanen and Rielly done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Rantanen's team went 8–5. Rantanen had 15 points (5 goals) and Rielly had 7 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →