Who to start · 2025-26
Mitch Marner vs Rasmus Dahlin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.
Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games.
This week Marner has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dahlin has no games left. We project Marner for 2.3 ESPN points to Dahlin's 0.0.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Marner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Blocked shots 46.
Dahlin's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 61, Top skating speed 22.5, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Rasmus Dahlin
2.14
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Rasmus Dahlin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marner | Dahlin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marner vs Dahlin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marner 4G 22A, 32 SOG · Dahlin 4G 12A, 53 SOG
Marner blocked 2 of Dahlin's shots; Dahlin blocked 0 of Marner's.
On the ice against each other (Marner's side)
11:48 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Marner's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–10
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 56.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marner | Dahlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | VGK 0–2 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-03 | VGK 2–3 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-04-15 | TOR 4–0 BUF | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-20 | TOR 6–3 BUF | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-06 | TOR 2–1 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-21 | TOR 3–9 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-04 | TOR 4–6 BUF | 1G 3A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-03-13 | TOR 3–4 BUF | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-21 | TOR 6–3 BUF | 0G 5A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-19 | TOR 5–2 BUF | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-04-12 | TOR 2–5 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-13 | TOR 2–5 BUF | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Rasmus Dahlin
2games (0 left)
0.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mitch Marner or Rasmus Dahlin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rasmus Dahlin projects to 2.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mitch Marner or Rasmus Dahlin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marner and Dahlin done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 11–9. Marner had 26 points (4 goals) and Dahlin had 16 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →