Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nikita Kucherov vs Trevor Connelly

Cooling6 P in last 5 (1.50/GP before)
Rising+1:14 PP TOI

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 2.79 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Connelly's 1.59.

Kucherov had 130 points in 76 games; Connelly had 7 in 10 games.

This week Kucherov has 3 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Connelly has 3 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Kucherov for 7.6 to Connelly's 3.3 over the games left.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nikita Kucherov rates ahead, +12.3 to +2.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Kucherov is cooling, 6 P in last 5 (1.50/GP before); Connelly is rising, +1:14 PP TOI.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 3 G, 7 A, 3 PPP, 24 SOG.
  • • Trevor Connelly is an NHL rookie: this is his first season.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 4 G, 3 A, 3 PPP, 20 SOG.

Tampa Bay Lightning · Vegas Golden Knights · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nikita Kucherov

+12.3

category z-score total

Trevor Connelly

+2.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nikita Kucherov has the edge (Kucherov wins 5, Connelly wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryKucherovConnelly
Goals / game0.510.40
Assists / game1.040.30
Plus/minus / game0.41-0.10
Power-play points / game0.450.30
Shots on goal / game3.032.00
Hits / game0.350.40

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head

Nikita Kucherov and Trevor Connelly have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KucherovConnelly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Nikita Kucherov

3games

7.6proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 @ VGK2.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to RWvs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Fri, Oct 23 @ COL2.3 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ UTAB2B3.1 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Trevor Connelly

3games

3.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs TBL0.9 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to LWvs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ STL1.2 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ CBJ1.2 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Nikita Kucherov or Trevor Connelly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 2.79 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Connelly's 1.59. Kucherov had 130 points in 76 games; Connelly had 7 in 10 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →