Draw Duel
Gage Goncalves faceoff stats, 2025-26
TBL · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
—
Only 35 draws in the last four seasons: too few for a rating.
2025-26 FO%
30.4%
7 won of 23 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
27.3% / 25.0%
11 strong-side, 8 weak-side draws this season
Next game
0.2 FOW
2026-10-05 vs PHI: 1 draws at 39.6%, range 0–1
Where Goncalves wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2026-27 and 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| OZ right | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Centre | 4 | 2 | 50.0% |
| NZ left (def.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| DZ left | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| DZ right | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R29.6%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L30.3%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R30.5%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R30.9%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L31.1%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L31.3%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L50.3%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L49.9%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L48.8%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L47.1%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L46.8%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R46.6%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 0.0% 1 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | — 0 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 |
| 2025-26 | 30.4% 23 | 31.8% 22 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 | 40.0% 10 | 37.5% 8 | 0.0% 5 | 27.3% 11 | 25.0% 8 |
| 2024-25 | 50.0% 6 | 50.0% 6 | — 0 | — 0 | 40.0% 5 | — 0 | 100.0% 1 | 50.0% 6 | — 0 |
| 2023-24 | 0.0% 1 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | — 0 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 | — 0 | — 0 | 0.0% 1 |
| Playoffs (all) | 25.0% 4 | 25.0% 4 | — 0 | — 0 | 0.0% 2 | 0.0% 1 | 100.0% 1 | 100.0% 1 | 0.0% 2 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kunin | 1–1 | 50.0% | 39.6% | 39.7% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Colton Sissons | 1–1 | 50.0% | 33.9% | 34.0% | normal luck (z 0.5) |
| Phillip Danault | 0–2 | 0.0% | 26.6% | 26.5% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Nic Dowd | 1–1 | 50.0% | 37.2% | 37.2% | normal luck (z 0.4) |
| Samuel Helenius | 0–1 | 0.0% | 36.7% | 36.7% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Mason McTavish | 0–1 | 0.0% | 31.9% | 31.9% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| Oliver Kapanen | 0–1 | 0.0% | 42.0% | 41.9% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Marco Kasper | 1–0 | 100.0% | 44.3% | 44.4% | a bit unusual (z 1.1) |
| Leo Carlsson | 0–1 | 0.0% | 36.5% | 36.5% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Kevin Stenlund | 1–0 | 100.0% | 31.4% | 31.5% | a bit unusual (z 1.5) |
| Ryan McLeod | 0–1 | 0.0% | 43.7% | 43.6% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Sam Carrick | 0–1 | 0.0% | 34.7% | 34.6% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs WSH | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MTL | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-01 | @ MTL | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MTL | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MTL | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs MIN | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-12 | vs DET | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-05 | vs FLA | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-16 | @ STL | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-12 | @ PHI | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-05 vs PHI likely opponents: Christian Dvorak (36%), Noel Acciari (36%)0.2 FOW 0–1
- 2026-10-08 vs MIN likely opponents: Joel Eriksson Ek (42%), Ryan Hartman (42%)0.2 FOW 0–1
- 2026-10-10 vs NYI likely opponents: Bo Horvat (34%), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (30%)0.2 FOW 0–1
FAQ
What is Gage Goncalves's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Gage Goncalves's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Gage Goncalves win tonight?
When Gage Goncalves has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Gage Goncalves better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.