Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fantilli vs Mikael Granlund

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 1.93 (was 2.80)
Steady−2:42 5v5 TOI

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikael Granlund projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.85.

Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Granlund had 41 in 58 games.

This week Fantilli has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Granlund has 3 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Granlund for 5.2 to Fantilli's 3.8 over the games left.

Adam Fantilli has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Fantilli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 73.2%, Transition attempts /60 1.36, Hits 139.

Granlund's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.7, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.072, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.

Head to head on the dot, Granlund leads Fantilli 8–7.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Adam Fantilli rates ahead, +2.7 to +2.6 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Fantilli is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.93 (was 2.80); Granlund is steady, −2:42 5v5 TOI.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 19 SOG.
  • • Granlund has played 7 of the Ducks' 8 games since Oct 2 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 2 G, 6 A, 4 PPP, 14 SOG.

Columbus Blue Jackets · Anaheim Ducks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fantilli

+2.7

category z-score total

Mikael Granlund

+2.6

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Adam Fantilli has the edge (Fantilli wins 3, Granlund wins 3 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryFantilliGranlund
Goals / game0.290.31
Assists / game0.340.53
Plus/minus / game-0.06-0.20
Power-play points / game0.110.33
Shots on goal / game2.642.01
Hits / game1.750.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Fantilli vs Granlund

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FantilliGranlund
3Team record in 6 meetings3
5Points in those games7

Fantilli 3G 2A, 20 SOG · Granlund 2G 5A, 13 SOG

7Faceoffs against each other8

Fantilli's offensive zone 4–3 · neutral 2–4 · Fantilli's defensive zone 1–1 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

2Hits on each other2

On the ice against each other (Fantilli's side)

14:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fantilli's side

Shot attempts
13–20
39.4%
Expected goals
0.4–1.0
28.7%
Goals
0–3

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fantilli and Mikael Granlund
DateScoreFantilliGranlund
2025-12-20CBJ 3–4 ANA0G 0A 2S1G 1A 4S
2025-12-16CBJ 4–3 ANA1G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S
2025-02-25CBJ 6–4 DAL1G 1A 3S0G 2A 2S
2025-02-02CBJ 3–5 DAL0G 1A 5S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-16CBJ 4–1 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-05CBJ 1–2 SJS0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S

Faceoffs: Fantilli vs Granlund

Model: Adam Fantilli wins 49.8% of draws against Mikael Granlund on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Adam Fantilli's predicted win % against Mikael Granlund at each dot, in Fantilli's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Fantilli atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home56%42%58%43%50%58%43%59%44%
Road55%41%56%42%50%56%42%57%43%

Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2025-26: Fantilli 7–8 (46.7%). Blended with the model: 49.7%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.2); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Fantilli faceoffs · Granlund faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FantilliGranlund

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Adam Fantilli

2games

3.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs TOR2.0 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.5 win%vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs VGK1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Mikael Granlund

4games (3 left)

5.2proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ NYR
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NYIB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ NJD1.8 pts
    Opp allows 16th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ PHI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fantilli or Mikael Granlund in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikael Granlund projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.85. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Granlund had 41 in 58 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Mikael Granlund?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fantilli leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fantilli and Granlund done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Fantilli's team went 3–3. Fantilli had 5 points (3 goals) and Granlund had 7 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Fantilli or Granlund?
Against each other, Fantilli has won 7 and Granlund 8 of their 15 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →