Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Auston Matthews
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Matthews has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Tuch's 2.4.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.0, Luck Meter +61, Plus/minus +24.
Matthews's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22, Faceoffs won 580, Power-play share 71.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.79 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Matthews
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 9G 10A, 47 SOG · Matthews 16G 10A, 74 SOG
Tuch's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 1–1 · Tuch's defensive zone 0–1 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Tuch blocked 2 of Matthews's shots; Matthews blocked 2 of Tuch's.
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
13:52 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–13
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.6
- 56.6%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Matthews |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | BUF 7–4 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2025-10-25 | BUF 3–4 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-24 | BUF 5–3 TOR | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-04-15 | BUF 0–4 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2024-12-20 | BUF 3–6 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-12-15 | BUF 3–5 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-03-30 | BUF 0–3 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-06 | BUF 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-21 | BUF 9–3 TOR | 0G 4A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-04 | BUF 6–4 TOR | 2G 0A 5S | 3G 0A 5S |
| 2023-03-13 | BUF 4–3 TOR | 2G 0A 5S | 1G 2A 5S |
| 2023-02-21 | BUF 3–6 TOR | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Auston Matthews in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Auston Matthews's 2.31. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Auston Matthews?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Matthews done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 10–10. Tuch had 19 points (9 goals) and Matthews had 26 (16 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Matthews?
- Against each other, Tuch has won 2 and Matthews 4 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →