Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left. We project Tuch for 2.3 ESPN points to Aho's 2.0.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1044, Goals above expected +5.0, Blocked shots 90.
Aho's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.2%, Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Scoring chances 57.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 10G 6A, 50 SOG · Aho 15G 8A, 67 SOG
Tuch's offensive zone 2–2 · neutral 0–0 · Tuch's defensive zone 2–0 (2018-19 to 2026-27)
Tuch blocked 2 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 1 of Tuch's.
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
6:10 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–6
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.4
- 25.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | WSH 5–2 CAR | 2G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-19 | BUF 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2025-11-23 | BUF 4–1 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | BUF 3–6 CAR | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2025-04-08 | BUF 3–0 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-02-27 | BUF 2–5 CAR | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-15 | BUF 4–2 CAR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-02-25 | BUF 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-02 | BUF 2–6 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2023-11-07 | BUF 2–3 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-04-08 | BUF 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-02-01 | BUF 1–5 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.0 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Aho done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 9–11. Tuch had 16 points (10 goals) and Aho had 23 (15 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Aho?
- Against each other, Tuch has won 4 and Aho 2 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →