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Who to start · 2025-26

Andrei Svechnikov vs Auston Matthews

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 2.02.

Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games.

This week Svechnikov has 1 game left; Matthews has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.6 ESPN points to Svechnikov's 2.0.

Andrei Svechnikov has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Svechnikov's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.8, Corsi 61.1%, Fenwick 59.5%.

Matthews's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22, Faceoffs won 580.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Andrei Svechnikov

2.02

fantasy points per game

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSvechnikovMatthews
Goals (+2)0.690.79
Assists (+1)0.490.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.36
Hits (+0.1)0.220.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.63

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Svechnikov vs Matthews

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SvechnikovMatthews
8Team record in 15 meetings7
11Points in those games14

Svechnikov 3G 8A, 52 SOG · Matthews 9G 5A, 53 SOG

5Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Svechnikov blocked 0 of Matthews's shots; Matthews blocked 1 of Svechnikov's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Svechnikov's side)

7:23 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Svechnikov's side

Shot attempts
9–8
52.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
48.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Andrei Svechnikov and Auston Matthews
DateScoreSvechnikovMatthews
2025-12-04CAR 1–5 TOR0G 0A 5S1G 0A 5S
2025-11-09CAR 5–4 TOR0G 1A 6S1G 1A 4S
2025-04-13CAR 1–4 TOR0G 0A 5S1G 0A 2S
2025-02-22CAR 3–6 TOR1G 1A 5S1G 0A 2S
2025-01-09CAR 6–3 TOR0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2024-03-24CAR 2–1 TOR0G 0A 5S0G 1A 7S
2024-03-16CAR 5–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 7S
2023-12-30CAR 3–2 TOR0G 2A 3S0G 0A 5S
2022-11-06CAR 1–3 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 1A 0S
2022-02-07CAR 3–4 TOR0G 0A 2S2G 0A 7S
2021-10-25CAR 4–1 TOR1G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2020-02-22CAR 6–3 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SvechnikovMatthews

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Andrei Svechnikov

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.0 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Andrei Svechnikov or Auston Matthews in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Andrei Svechnikov's 2.02. Svechnikov had 70 points in 79 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Andrei Svechnikov or Auston Matthews?
On 2025-26 numbers, Andrei Svechnikov leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Svechnikov and Matthews done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Svechnikov's team went 8–7. Svechnikov had 11 points (3 goals) and Matthews had 14 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →