Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Rasmus Dahlin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rasmus Dahlin's 2.10.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Dahlin has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.6 ESPN points to Dahlin's 2.2.
Rasmus Dahlin has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, Transition attempts /60 2.09, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038.
Dahlin's biggest edges: Luck Meter +46, Penalty minutes 76, Corsi 52.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Rasmus Dahlin
2.10
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Dahlin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.79 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Dahlin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 18G 11A, 85 SOG · Dahlin 7G 14A, 60 SOG
Matthews blocked 4 of Dahlin's shots; Dahlin blocked 2 of Matthews's.
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
16:21 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–12
- 53.8%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–0.6
- 69.5%
- Goals
- 4–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Dahlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | TOR 4–7 BUF | 1G 2A 3S | 3G 2A 7S |
| 2025-10-25 | TOR 4–3 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-24 | TOR 3–5 BUF | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-15 | TOR 4–0 BUF | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-20 | TOR 6–3 BUF | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-03-30 | TOR 3–0 BUF | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-06 | TOR 2–1 BUF | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-21 | TOR 3–9 BUF | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-04 | TOR 4–6 BUF | 3G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-03-13 | TOR 3–4 BUF | 1G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-21 | TOR 6–3 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-11-19 | TOR 5–2 BUF | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.6 pts
Rasmus Dahlin
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.2 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Rasmus Dahlin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rasmus Dahlin's 2.10. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Dahlin had 74 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Rasmus Dahlin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Rasmus Dahlin leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Dahlin done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 13–9. Matthews had 29 points (18 goals) and Dahlin had 21 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →