Who to start · 2025-26
Auston Matthews vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.
Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Matthews has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Matthews's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1016, Blocked shots 81, Faceoffs won 580.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Corsi 60.4%, Fenwick 59.7%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Auston Matthews
2.56
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matthews | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.68 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matthews vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matthews 10G 3A, 61 SOG · Jarvis 5G 1A, 31 SOG
Matthews's offensive zone 2–1 · neutral 0–0 · Matthews's defensive zone 2–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Matthews's side)
7:23 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matthews's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–10
- 44.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 51.4%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matthews | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | TOR 5–1 CAR | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-11-09 | TOR 4–5 CAR | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-13 | TOR 4–1 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-02-22 | TOR 6–3 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-09 | TOR 3–6 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-24 | TOR 1–2 CAR | 0G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-16 | TOR 4–5 CAR | 0G 0A 7S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-30 | TOR 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-25 | TOR 3–5 CAR | 2G 0A 15S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-17 | TOR 5–2 CAR | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-06 | TOR 3–1 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-02-07 | TOR 4–3 CAR | 2G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Auston Matthews or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Matthews had 53 points in 60 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Auston Matthews or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matthews and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Matthews's team went 6–6. Matthews had 13 points (10 goals) and Jarvis had 6 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Matthews or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Matthews has won 4 and Jarvis 2 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →