Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Neal Pionk

vs
Neal PionkJets · Defence
Rising14 P in last 5 (1.85/GP before)
Surging5 P in last 5 (0.30/GP before)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.68 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Neal Pionk's 1.66.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Pionk had 12 in 51 games.

This week McDavid has 3 games left with 1 tough matchup; Pionk has 3 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 9.3 to Pionk's 5.3 over the games left.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.6, High-danger chances 57.5%, 20+ mph bursts 681.

Pionk's biggest edges: Hits 111, On-ice PDO 1017, Hardest shot 90.6.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +20.7 to +3.7 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: McDavid is rising, 14 P in last 5 (1.85/GP before); Pionk is surging, 5 P in last 5 (0.30/GP before).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 6 G, 17 A, 5 PPP, 18 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 5 A, 1 PPP, 17 SOG.

Edmonton Oilers · Winnipeg Jets · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

+20.7

category z-score total

Neal Pionk

+3.7

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (McDavid wins 5, Pionk wins 1 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryMcDavidPionk
Goals / game0.640.08
Assists / game1.450.32
Plus/minus / game0.960.05
Power-play points / game0.650.07
Shots on goal / game3.221.90
Hits / game0.802.11

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Pionk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidPionk
17Team record in 31 meetings14
53Points in those games14

McDavid 14G 39A, 115 SOG · Pionk 2G 12A, 55 SOG

3Hits on each other10
2Shots blocked by the other12

McDavid blocked 2 of Pionk's shots; Pionk blocked 12 of McDavid's.

4Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

24:28 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
31–19
62.0%
Expected goals
2.4–0.9
73.4%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Neal Pionk
DateScoreMcDavidPionk
2026-01-08EDM 4–3 WPG1G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-29EDM 3–1 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-06EDM 6–2 WPG0G 2A 5S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-09EDM 0–6 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2024-03-26EDM 4–3 WPG0G 2A 1S0G 2A 1S
2023-11-30EDM 3–1 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-21EDM 2–3 WPG0G 2A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-04EDM 5–7 WPG0G 1A 4S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-03EDM 6–3 WPG0G 3A 6S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-31EDM 1–2 WPG0G 0A 4S1G 1A 2S
2022-02-19EDM 4–2 WPG1G 2A 6S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-18EDM 2–1 WPG1G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 31 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidPionk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Connor McDavid

3games

9.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 vs MIN3.2 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs CAR2.8 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −3.1 win%Likely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs TOR3.3 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

Neal Pionk

3games

5.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 @ STL1.8 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ DAL1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 25 vs MTL1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Neal Pionk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.68 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Neal Pionk's 1.66. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Pionk had 12 in 51 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Neal Pionk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Pionk done against each other?
In 31 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 17–14. McDavid had 53 points (14 goals) and Pionk had 14 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →