Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Larkin vs Mitch Marner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.86.
Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.
This week Larkin has 2 games left; Marner has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 4.2 ESPN points to Larkin's 3.9.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 20 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Larkin's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 52.9%, 20+ mph bursts 186, Draw Equity /100 +0.029.
Marner's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Scoring chances 55.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Larkin
2.13
fantasy points per game
Mitch Marner
1.96
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Larkin has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larkin | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.92 | 0.59 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.45 | 0.69 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larkin vs Marner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larkin 9G 13A, 94 SOG · Marner 17G 19A, 66 SOG
Larkin's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 1–0 · Larkin's defensive zone 1–0 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Larkin blocked 1 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 0 of Larkin's.
On the ice against each other (Larkin's side)
6:05 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–4
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.4
- 25.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larkin | Marner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | DET 3–4 VGK | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2025-11-04 | DET 0–1 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-17 | DET 3–4 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2024-12-27 | DET 2–5 TOR | 0G 1A 7S | 3G 0A 5S |
| 2024-12-14 | DET 4–2 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-11-08 | DET 1–3 TOR | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-04-13 | DET 5–4 TOR | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2024-01-14 | DET 4–2 TOR | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-17 | DET 2–3 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-01-12 | DET 4–1 TOR | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-07 | DET 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-28 | DET 2–4 TOR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Larkin
2games
3.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR2.1 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.5 win%vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Mitch Marner
3games (2 left)
4.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA1.9 ptsvs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Larkin or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Larkin projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.86. Larkin had 67 points in 74 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Larkin or Mitch Marner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 20 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larkin and Marner done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Larkin's team went 7–18. Larkin had 22 points (9 goals) and Marner had 36 (17 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Larkin or Marner?
- Against each other, Larkin has won 2 and Marner 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →