Who to start · 2025-26
Jake McCabe vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake McCabe's 1.75.
McCabe had 25 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week McCabe has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to McCabe's 1.7.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McCabe's biggest edges: Blocked shots 190, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.040, Goals above expected +0.6.
Aho's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.2%, Corsi 61.5%, Offensive-zone start % 68.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake McCabe
1.75
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | McCabe | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.11 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.19 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McCabe vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McCabe 1G 5A, 10 SOG · Aho 12G 16A, 59 SOG
McCabe blocked 3 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of McCabe's.
On the ice against each other (McCabe's side)
21:57 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McCabe's side
- Shot attempts
- 21–26
- 44.7%
- Expected goals
- 1.8–0.9
- 66.7%
- Goals
- 4–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McCabe | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | TOR 3–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-12-04 | TOR 5–1 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-09 | TOR 4–5 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-02-22 | TOR 6–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-03-24 | TOR 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-16 | TOR 4–5 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2023-12-30 | TOR 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2023-03-25 | TOR 3–5 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-03-17 | TOR 5–2 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-12-27 | CHI 0–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-14 | CHI 0–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-11-03 | CHI 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake McCabe
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to D
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to C
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake McCabe or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake McCabe's 1.75. McCabe had 25 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake McCabe or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McCabe and Aho done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, McCabe's team went 3–16. McCabe had 6 points (1 goals) and Aho had 28 (12 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →