Who to start · 2025-26
John Tavares vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80.
Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Tavares has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.0 ESPN points to Tavares's 1.7.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 25 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Tavares's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 801, On-ice PDO 992, Luck Meter +12.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Plus/minus +6, Fenwick 59.7%, Scoring chances 55.6%.
Head to head on the dot, Tavares leads Jarvis 7–3.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Tavares
1.84
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tavares | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.76 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tavares vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tavares 6G 7A, 41 SOG · Jarvis 5G 3A, 33 SOG
Tavares's offensive zone 4–1 · neutral 1–1 · Tavares's defensive zone 2–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
Tavares blocked 1 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 0 of Tavares's.
On the ice against each other (Tavares's side)
14:22 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tavares's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–16
- 36.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.7
- 60.3%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tavares | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | TOR 3–4 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-12-04 | TOR 5–1 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-11-09 | TOR 4–5 CAR | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-13 | TOR 4–1 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-02-22 | TOR 6–3 CAR | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-09 | TOR 3–6 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-24 | TOR 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-16 | TOR 4–5 CAR | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-30 | TOR 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-25 | TOR 3–5 CAR | 0G 0A 9S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-17 | TOR 5–2 CAR | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-06 | TOR 3–1 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Tavares
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.0 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Tavares or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Tavares or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 25 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tavares and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 6–7. Tavares had 13 points (6 goals) and Jarvis had 8 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tavares or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Tavares has won 7 and Jarvis 3 of their 10 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →